Families hiding infected loved ones and the existence
of "shadow zones" where medics cannot go mean the West African Ebola
epidemic is even bigger than thought, the World Health Organisation has
said.
Some 1,427 people have died among 2,615 known cases of the deadly
virus in West Africa since the outbreak was first identified in March,
according to new figures released by the WHO on Friday.
Others deny that a patient has Ebola and believe that care in an
isolation ward - viewed as an incubator of the disease - will lead to
infection and certain death.see more detail below...
WHO
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Under-reporting of cases is a problem especially in Liberia and Sierra Leone, currently the two countries hardest hit.
"As Ebola has no cure, some believe infected loved ones will be more
comfortable dying at home," the WHO said in a statement detailing why
the outbreak had been underestimated.
"Others deny that a patient has Ebola and believe that care in an
isolation ward - viewed as an incubator of the disease - will lead to
infection and certain death."
Corpses are often buried without official notification. And there are
"shadow zones", rural areas where there are rumours of cases and deaths
that cannot be investigated because of community resistance or lack of
staff and transport.
The WHO said it is now working with Medecins Sans Frontieres (MSF)
and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to produce "more
realistic estimates".
On Friday, the WHO said it had drawn up a draft strategy plan to
combat the disease in West Africa, and details would be released early
next week.
David Nabarro, Senior United Nations System Coordinator for Ebola,
who was travelling with the WHO's Fukuda in Liberia, said the strategy
would involve ramping up the number of health workers fighting the
disease.
"It means more doctors, Liberian doctors, more nurses, Liberian
nurses, and more equipment," he said. "But it also means, of course,
more international staff."
Ballooning numbers
Despite initial assertions by regional health officials that the
virus had been contained in its early stages, Ebola case numbers and
deaths have ballooned in recent months as the outbreak has spread from
its initial epicentre in Guinea.
"We think six to nine months is a reasonable estimate," Keiji Fukuda,
the WHO's Assistant Director-General for Health Security, said during a
visit to Liberia, speaking of the time the agency now believes will be
required to halt the epidemic.
An Ebola outbreak will be declared over in a country if two
incubation periods, or 42 days in total, have passed without any
confirmed case, a WHO spokesperson said |
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